John Cox

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Tagged economics · everything

Can Radical Efficiency Revive U.S. Manufacturing?: Scientific American

U.S. industry can dramatically improve competitiveness and profitability by systematically upgrading energy efficiency without waiting for technological breakthroughs—a transformation that could yield 84 percent more output in 2050 while using 9 to 13 percent less energy than today. Real-world examples from steel (electric arc furnaces), semiconductors (Texas Instruments' LEED Gold fab), data centers, and chemicals (Dow's $9.4 billion savings) demonstrate that applying new technologies to established industries and established thermal principles to emerging sectors generates both environmental gains and substantial financial returns. The key is adopting an energy-focused design lens throughout operations, as seen in symbiotic industrial ecosystems like Kalundborg, Denmark, where waste from one facility becomes a resource for another.

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The Dumbest Idea In The World: Maximizing Shareholder Value - Forbes

Roger Martin argues that American capitalism has been corrupted by a misguided focus on managing stock market expectations rather than creating real value through products and services. Drawing from Michael Jensen's 1976 theory of shareholder value maximization, Martin shows how executives are incentivized to game quarterly earnings forecasts and manipulate stock prices—much like an NFL coach being paid to cover the point spread rather than win games—which has paradoxically reduced actual corporate performance while exploding executive compensation. He proposes fundamental legal and structural reforms, including eliminating earnings guidance, ending stock-based compensation, and reorienting corporations toward delighting customers rather than maximizing shareholder returns, arguing that this shift would ultimately prove more profitable for all stakeholders while saving capitalism from the recurring bubbles and scandals it currently generates.

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Clayton Christensen: How Pursuit of Profits Kills Innovation and the U.S. Economy - Forbes

Clayton Christensen argues that business schools' teaching of profit-maximization metrics like Internal Rate of Return and Return on Net Assets has systematically driven American companies to outsource their manufacturing and core expertise to foreign competitors, hollowing out entire sectors of the economy. Companies like Dell progressively shed low-margin operations to boost profitability ratios, only to discover that competitors in Taiwan and China eventually captured the entire value chain by maintaining integrated manufacturing capabilities and measuring success in absolute cash generation rather than ratios. Christensen contends that sustainable innovation and economic growth require shifting from profit-focused metrics to customer-centric strategies that prioritize continuous value delivery and competitive resilience.

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US college grads' salaries in steep decline - Boing Boing

Economist Michael Mandel documents that real wages for young college graduates (ages 25-34) have declined significantly since the early 2000s—down 19% for men since 2000 and 16% for women since 2003—despite rising tuition costs and increasingly aggressive student loan collection. He raises three critical questions about the causes: whether global competition from international college graduates, declining quality of American graduates, or technological displacement might explain this wage collapse. The disconnect between skyrocketing college costs and deteriorating economic outcomes for degree holders suggests a fundamental problem with the current higher education investment model.

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3 Misconceptions That Need to Die (WMT, X)

This article debunks three widely held misconceptions about the U.S. economy using data from federal sources: only 2.7% of American consumer spending goes to Chinese-made goods (with housing, food, insurance, and healthcare comprising 70% of spending and being mostly American-made), China owns just 7.8% of U.S. government debt while the federal government itself and domestic investors hold far more, and only 9.2% of U.S. oil imports come from the Middle East with North America supplying the majority of petroleum consumed domestically. The author argues these misperceptions persist because people tend to accept only facts that align with their existing beliefs, using examples like Walmart's inventory to illustrate why anecdotal evidence misleads about the broader economy.

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Freakonomics » Cause of Death: Drinking More Acceptable Than Smoking in UK

A study of London death certificates from 2003-2009 found that doctors listed alcohol as a major contributor to death in over half of cases but smoking in only 0.5 percent, despite 279 deaths involving lung cancer or COPD—suggesting physicians may be reluctant to stigmatize deceased smokers while showing no such reluctance about alcohol. The findings indicate this bias reflects broader Western cultural attitudes that have become intensely hostile to smoking while remaining permissive toward drinking, leading doctors to omit epidemiologically important data about smoking's role in mortality.

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Taxes and the Wealthy - NYTimes.com

This piece argues that while tax rate changes from 1979 to 2005 cannot fully explain rising income inequality, they have significantly amplified it rather than counteracted it, with the wealthy—particularly the very rich—receiving disproportionate tax relief relative to their income gains. The author uses CBO data to refute the claim that the rich are overtaxed, showing instead that tax policy has actively reinforced growing after-tax inequality over this period.

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Freakonomics » Racial Bias in Capital Sentencing

Alesina and La Ferrara analyzed capital appeals from 1973 to 1995 by examining reversal rates across different defendant-victim race combinations, reasoning that higher courts correct bias in lower court sentencing. They found that minority defendants convicted of killing white victims had significantly higher reversal rates than minority defendants who killed minority victims—a 9-percentage-point difference in federal habeas corpus cases—suggesting initial racial bias in sentencing. The disparity was concentrated in Southern states, where the effect was even more pronounced.

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This Tech Bubble Is Different - BusinessWeek

I've been provided with what appears to be a Bloomberg homepage or article listing page rather than a specific article to summarize. The content shows various article headlines and sections from Bloomberg Businessweek and Bloomberg.com, but there is no actual article text to read and summarize. To provide you with an accurate summary, please share the actual article content or text that you'd like me to summarize.

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Camels and Rubber Duckies - Joel on Software

# Summary Joel Spolsky traces the theoretical foundation for software pricing through demand curves and profit optimization, demonstrating that a simple economic model suggests an ideal price point where marginal revenue meets marginal cost—but then systematically dismantles this theory's practical applicability. He explains how companies attempt to capture "consumer surplus" through price segmentation (discounts, coupons, tiered versions), showing both why it works in theory and why it backfires in practice when customers discover they're paying different prices or feel exploited. Ultimately, Spolsky argues that the only reliable way to determine demand is through actual sales experimentation, that price itself sends quality signals to consumers, and that cheaper prices can function as long-term advertising investments—but he concludes the endeavor is fundamentally unknowable, leaving readers unable to definitively answer the original question.

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The Strange Economics of Water, and Why It Shouldn’t Be Free: A Guest Post

Charles Fishman illustrates the paradox of water economics through the Cleveland Cavaliers' removal of drinking fountains to boost bottled water sales, showing that consumers pay thousands of times more for bottled water than tap water despite buying the same product. He argues that while bottled water succeeds by selling convenience and branding rather than the water itself, the real problem is that underpriced tap water creates no incentive for maintenance or conservation of critical infrastructure—the U.S. spends nearly as much annually on plastic bottles as on maintaining its entire water system. Fishman contends that water needs appropriate pricing to signal its value and fund the modernization of aging systems, not the false message of being free and unlimited.

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Of the 1%, by the 1%, for the 1% | Society | Vanity Fair

The essay argues that America's extreme wealth inequality—where the top 1 percent now captures nearly a quarter of all income and 40 percent of wealth—represents a fundamental threat to both economic efficiency and democratic legitimacy, not merely a matter of fairness. The author contends that this inequality stems partly from structural economic forces like globalization and technology, but significantly from deliberate policy choices favoring the wealthy: preferential tax treatment, lax antitrust enforcement, financial deregulation, and the corrupting influence of money in politics that ensures elected officials serve the interests of the rich. Drawing comparisons to the autocratic societies experiencing popular uprisings in the Middle East, Stiglitz warns that America risks similar instability unless the wealthy recognize that their own long-term security depends on investing in the common good—a principle he calls "self-interest properly understood."

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Putting the 'American business model' in its place | openDemocracy

John Kay argues that market economies outperform planned societies not because they harness human greed, but because they enable disciplined pluralism—the freedom to experiment and innovate combined with ruthless elimination of failures. He contends that the "American business model" misunderstands how markets actually work by overemphasizing greed and financial markets while underestimating the crucial role of social institutions, trust relationships, state regulation, and cooperation in sustaining modern economies. Rather than replacing markets or adopting universal economic theory, Kay advocates for understanding how different market economies function within their specific historical and cultural contexts.

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Calculated Risk: Here comes $4 Gasoline

Gas prices were rapidly approaching $4 per gallon in Southern California counties in March 2011, with San Diego and Riverside-San Bernardino already exceeding prices from the same period in 2008 (before that year's peak of $4.63). California consistently experiences higher gas prices than most of the country, though the national average was still climbing toward the $4 threshold. The post connects rising fuel costs to consumer sentiment metrics, noting their historical correlation with economic outlook.

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Daily Kos: ExxonMobil says wind is cheapest form of electricity generation

ExxonMobil's own energy outlook data shows wind power costs are competitive with coal and gas when carbon emissions are priced, and the author argues that common criticisms of wind—needing backup capacity and grid transmission upgrades—are misleading since traditional power plants require the same infrastructure investments that the power system already accommodates. Wind's intermittency is manageable at current penetration levels (5-10%), and even in high-wind scenarios decades away, backup costs would only modestly increase wind's price while ignoring the massive geopolitical, health, and security costs embedded in coal and gas production.

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